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Welcome back to NBA Prop Drop.

Think of me as your smart, no-bs friend, who spends far too much time thinking about +EV ways to bet on the NBA in fun ways.

Game 3 tonight Mavs/Celtics! Some huge edges (haven’t said that in a while), so calling my shot today. If Luka doesn’t score a double-double I’m giving $50 to someone who likes my latest Instagram video.

Speaking of Instagram… If you like fantasy football, I spun up a new Instagram account. Give it a follow if you want to finally win your league 😎

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But as always… the Newsletters Eat First 👨‍🍳

Today’s Prop Drop:

NBA betting lines move extremely quickly (player props are no different), so today is about getting the best action down quickly.

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• I want you to get the last-minute picks. So turning on alerts is more and more important as we grow.

• Tap below the bet to tail before the line moves

5: D. White: O 2.5 3PM

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You may not know this, but Derrick White has at least 8 attempts from deep in 7 straight games. He hasn't shot well in this series. But, 2.5 is CRAZY when he's averaged 3.44 per game in the playoffs.

4: D. Lively: U 2.5 Pts (1Q)

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We've been absolutely SURGICAL with these 1st Quarter picks lately. And the apps just CONSISTENTLY FAIL to adjust the numbers quickly enough. Another one of those staring us in the face today is Lively less than 2.5 points in Q1. Not only does he have 0 in the first quarter over the first two games of this series, he's failed to beat this number in 10 of his last 12 games.

3: J. Holiday: O 6.5 Reb

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Holiday has 8 or more rebounds in four straight games, averaging 9.25 per game over that span. And for some reason we've been given this GIFT of 6.5 tonight.

2: L. Doncic: O 0.5 DD

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We cashed the rebounds OVER in Game 2, so I wouldn’t blame you for taking that one at a better multiplier. But Luka has locked in a DD in 10 of his last 12 games and I have a feeling he get’s there with assists at some point this series.

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Run good tonight!

There are no guaranteed winners, but my promise to you is I will work tirelessly to bring you the best player prop bets, carefully researched and backed by data.

Thank you for joining us on this exciting sports betting journey. Feel free to join our community sweats on Twitter (X) — That’s where I drop exclusive giveaways for people who like posts and reply in the comments.