✅🏀 Prop Drop - NBA Finals (Game 2)

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Welcome back to NBA Prop Drop.

Think of me as your smart, no-bs friend, who spends far too much time thinking about +EV ways to bet on the NBA in fun ways.

Game 2 tonight - don’t forget about the Way-Too-Early Picks.

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Today’s Prop Drop:

NBA betting lines move extremely quickly (player props are no different), so today is about getting the best action down quickly.

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  • I want you to get the last-minute picks. So turning on alerts is more and more important as we grow.

  • Tap below the bet to tail before the line moves

5: P. Washington: U 12.5 Pts

The Celtics have been TOUGH against opposing power forwards... allowing the 2nd-FEWEST points per game in the league.

4: D. Jones: O 0.5 3PM

One area Boston does struggle defensively, is they've given up the 4th-most attempts from three to opposing shooting guards. We missed this in Game 1... but now they've lowered the Jones line to a number he's hit in 75% of his last 12 games. He's averaged 1.42 per game from deep over that span. This one's a lock.

3: A. Horford: U 1.5 Reb (Q1)

Now we get surgical, because the lines these apps consistently fail to adjust quickly enough are 1st Quarter props. Porzingis is going to continue to eat into Horford's playing time, but specifically in the 1st quarter, we saw Al's minutes cut in half in Game 1. They left his line at 1.5 rebounds, a number he's beaten only twice over the last 7 games anyway. You won't get this one in Game 3.

2: J. Tatum: O 2.5 Reb (Q1)

Another one that makes no sense in Q1 is Tatum 2.5 rebounds. He's beat this in 8 of his last 10, averaging 3.5 in the 1st Quarter over that span.

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Run good tonight!

There are no guaranteed winners, but my promise to you is I will work tirelessly to bring you the best player prop bets, carefully researched and backed by data.

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