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Welcome back to NBA Prop Drop.

Think of me as your smart, no-bs friend, who spends far too much time thinking about +EV ways to bet on the NBA in fun ways.

We went 5-for-6 in Game 3, nearly 10x’ing our money, but today we SWEEP!

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Today’s Prop Drop:

NBA betting lines move extremely quickly (player props are no different), so today is about getting the best action down quickly.

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3: M. Conley: O 0.5 Ast Q1

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We’ve been ABSOLUTELY SURGICAL with these 1st quarter props this season, and it looks like the apps made another mistake just like in Game 3.

Now for some INSANE reason… we get Conley more than 0.5 assists when he’s averaging 1.5 per game in the playoffs, exactly where the app USUALLY sets his projection. Only Anthony Edwards averages more first quarter assists than Conley this year, so this one just feels MISPRICED. Take advantage.

2: K. Towns: O 8.5 Reb

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KAT has tallied 10.0 rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 HIGHER than his season average. But what you may not know is he’s grabbed 11.8 per game over his six career ELIMINATION GAMES. So I wouldn’t be surprised if this number gets bumped before tipoff.

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Run good tonight!

There are no guaranteed winners, but my promise to you is I will work tirelessly to bring you the best player prop bets, carefully researched and backed by data.

Thank you for joining us on this exciting sports betting journey. Feel free to join our community sweats on Twitter (X) — That’s where I drop exclusive giveaways for people who like posts and reply in the comments.

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