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Think of me as your smart, no-bs friend, who spends far too much time thinking about +EV ways to bet on the NBA in fun ways.

I'm officially CURSED.

But if we miss 2 more picks by LESS THAN A POINT, I'll give $50 to someone who replies to this email with a screenshot of them signing up at Rebet ⬇️

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Today’s Prop Drop:

NBA betting lines move extremely quickly (player props are no different), so today is about getting the best action down quickly.

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• Tap below the bet to tail before the line moves

5: A. Horford: U 1.5 Reb (Q1)

(Tail on Rebet) (Tail on Underdog) (Tail on Sleeper) (Tail on PrizePicks)

We've been SURGICAL with these 1st Quarter picks. So we're doubling down on Horford to get less than 1.5 rebounds until they adjust this number. That's just WAY-TOO-HIGH with Porzingis back in the starting lineup. Horford has beaten this projection ONLY TWICE over his last 8 games anyway.

4: D. Lively: U 6.5 Pts

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The STRUGGLES of Dereck Lively were pretty easy to see coming. Boston uses so much movement in their offense we tend to see the 7-footers play LESS OFTEN as they stretch the floor and shoot threes. We cashed less than 7.5 in Games 1 and 2, but 6.5 still feels TOO HIGH.

3: D. Gafford: U 1.5 Stl+Blk

(Tail on Rebet) (Tail on Underdog) (Tail on Sleeper) (Tail on PrizePicks)

This number is still INFLATED. This is after a couple of big defensive games against the Timberwolves. But like I've already talked about... this couldn't be more of a different defensive matchup against the Celtics.

2: L. Doncic: O 3.5 3PM

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This has been sitting at 4.0 to 4.5 for weeks, so it instantly caught my eye because he's beat this number in 7 of the last 8 games. Averaging 10 attempts per game from three over that time period.

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Run good tonight!

There are no guaranteed winners, but my promise to you is I will work tirelessly to bring you the best player prop bets, carefully researched and backed by data.

Thank you for joining us on this exciting sports betting journey. Feel free to join our community sweats on Twitter (X) — That’s where I drop exclusive giveaways for people who like posts and reply in the comments.