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Welcome back to NBA Prop Drop.

Think of me as your smart, no-bs friend, who spends far too much time thinking about +EV ways to bet on the NBA in fun ways.

Eastern Conference Finals - Game 1 recap:

My goal (especially early in the series) is to get the picks out a FULL DAY early so we can guarantee everyone in the community gets the best lines.

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Today’s Prop Drop:

NBA betting lines move extremely quickly (player props are no different), so today is about getting the best action down quickly.

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5: T. McConnell: U 0.5 3PM

(Tail on Underdog) (Tail on Sleeper) (Tail on PrizePicks)

Let's DOUBLE-DOWN here. He's converted just 22.7% of his 3 point shots on the road, and has attempted more than 1 from deep only ONCE over his last 8 games.

4: O. Toppin: U 4.5 Reb

(Tail on Underdog) (Tail on Sleeper) (Tail on PrizePicks)

Obi Toppin's 4.5 rebound projection is too high. The Pacers rank 8th-WORST in rebounds over their last 5 games and he's beat this number only ONCE over his last 7.

3: T. Haliburton: O 3.5 3PM

(Tail on Underdog) (Tail on Sleeper) (Tail on PrizePicks)

I TRIED TO WARN YOU GUYS about Tyrese Haliburton and this 3.5 three pointers made projection being WAY-TOO-LOW. He drained 6 more from deep in Game 1 and has averaged 4.1 per game over his last 10 games, 1.2 more than his season average. Oh yeah, remember when I told you the Celtics allow the MOST three-pointers to point guards. Don't overthink this.

2: J. Tatum: U 2.5 3PM

(Tail on Underdog) (Tail on Sleeper) (Tail on PrizePicks)

Jayson Tatum less than 2.5 three-pointers made, a number he's hit only ONCE in 11 playoff games this year. The Pacers also allow the FEWEST three-point attempts per game to starting PFs... just 2.5 PER GAME.

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Run good tonight!

There are no guaranteed winners, but my promise to you is I will work tirelessly to bring you the best player prop bets, carefully researched and backed by data.

Thank you for joining us on this exciting sports betting journey. Feel free to join our community sweats on Twitter (X) — That’s where I drop exclusive giveaways for people who like posts and reply in the comments.

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