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Today’s Prop Drop:

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3: D. Mitchell: U 33.5 Pts+Reb

(Tail on Underdog) (Tail on Sleeper) (Tail on PrizePicks)

It’s Game 7, Cavs/Magic, and the number one play in my model may suprise you. It’s Donovan Mitchell less than 33.5 Pts+Reb. I get it, Mitchell just dropped 50, but the books have overreacted with this projection because he’s still averaging only 31.3 Pts+Reb in the series. The Cavs have run at the NBA's 6th-SLOWEST pace over their last 20 games. And the Magic have been slow as well, especially at home, as the league's 2nd-SLOWEST over that same period. This will mean fewer possessions and opportunities for Mitchell.

2: P. Banchero: U 0.5 DD

(Tail on Underdog) (Tail on Sleeper) (Tail on PrizePicks)

Banchero will take on a Cavs defense that has been holding opposing power forwards to the second-FEWEST points in the league. And Cleveland is taking advantage of the Magic's recent rebounding woes. They're the 7th-WORST at home... which further limits Banchero's opportunities to drop a double-double tonight. Along with the PAINFULLY SLOW pace that we already talked about. We cashed this one in Game 6 and are doubling down in Game 7.

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