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Think of me as your smart, no-bs friend, who spends far too much time thinking about +EV ways to bet on the NBA in fun ways.

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Today’s Prop Drop:

NBA betting lines move extremely quickly (player props are no different), so today is about getting the best action down quickly.

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3: J. Hart: U 14.5 Pts

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We have to talk about the SLOWEST-paced game on the slate by far, that's Knicks @ 76ers. We should see fewer opportunities and lower stats across the board, but my model really likes Josh Hart less than 14.5 points. Which makes a lot of sense once you dig in, his projection is MASSIVELY INFLATED from how he was shooting it from 3 point land early in the series. The 76ers have nutralized that over the last two games and have DOMINATED small forwards this year allowing just 11.3 points per game, FEWEST in the NBA.

2: B. Portis: U 12.5 Reb

(Tail on Underdog) (Tail on Sleeper) (Tail on PrizePicks)

We know the Bucks are banged up... both Giannis and Lillard are DOUBTFUL. But the Bobby Portis 12.5 rebound projection is still OUT OF CONTROL. We cashed this in Game 5 and we're DOUBLING-DOWN. Milwaukee ranks 5th-WORST in the league this year in that category and Portis has exceeded that number ONCE over his last 15 games.

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There are no guaranteed winners, but my promise to you is I will work tirelessly to bring you the best player prop bets, carefully researched and backed by data.

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