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Think of me as your smart, no-bs friend, who spends far too much time thinking about +EV ways to bet on the NBA in fun ways.

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Today’s Prop Drop:

NBA betting lines move extremely quickly (player props are no different), so today is about getting the best action down quickly.

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5: R. Gobert: O 11.5 Reb

(Tail on Underdog) (Tail on Sleeper) (Tail on PrizePicks)

Rudy Gobert has averaged 14 rebounds per game in elimination games since 2020, so this 11.5 projection is a GIFT.

4: N. Ried: O 12.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

(Tail on Underdog) (Tail on Sleeper) (Tail on PrizePicks)

Most people realize what a BEAST Naz Reid has been in in this series, averaging 16.3 PRA, and over his last 15 games hes put up 5.3 defensive rebounds per game on the road so 12.5 PRA is a lock to get BUMPED before tipoff.

3: A. Edwards: O 2.5 3PM

(Tail on Underdog) (Tail on Sleeper) (Tail on PrizePicks)

The Timberwolves are the 2nd-BEST three point shooting team in the NBA and Anthony Edwards has beat this 2.5 three pointers made projection in five of his last seven games. He's averageing nearly 7 attempts from deep per game in this series.

2: J. Murray: U 19.5 Pts

(Tail on Underdog) (Tail on Sleeper) (Tail on PrizePicks)

We're DOUBLING-DOWN on what continues to be the BEST UNDER to take on the Nuggets side all series. Minnesota HOLDS point guards to the LOWEST field goal percentage in the NBA at 39.8% and also allows the 5th-FEWEST free throws to the position. So Jamal Murray less than 19.5 feels free. Again, just like when we cashed it in Game 6.

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There are no guaranteed winners, but my promise to you is I will work tirelessly to bring you the best player prop bets, carefully researched and backed by data.

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