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- ✅🏀 NBA Prop Drop (5/16)
✅🏀 NBA Prop Drop (5/16)
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Welcome back to NBA Prop Drop.
Think of me as your smart, no-bs friend, who spends far too much time thinking about +EV ways to bet on the NBA in fun ways.
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Today’s Prop Drop:
NBA betting lines move extremely quickly (player props are no different), so today is about getting the best action down quickly.
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3: A. Edwards: O 2.5 3PM
Edwards is shooting 6.5 threes per game at home, ranking in the 91st percentile among NBA players. Minnesota's stellar 38.5% team three-point rate is the 2nd-best in the league this season. Despite Minnesota's 2nd-slowest pace over their last 10 games, Edwards' high volume and accuracy from three make this Over bet a strong play. He’s already beat the 2.5 number three times in this series.
2: J. Murray: U 19.5 Pts
This line is just WAY TOO HIGH for Jamal Murray, given his recent performance and matchup dynamics. The Timberwolves have held opposing starting PGs to the lowest field goal percentage in the NBA over the last 25 games, making it a tough night for Murray. Additionally, Minnesota plays at the 2nd-slowest pace over the last 10 games, limiting scoring opportunities. Minnesota also allows the 5th-FEWEST free throws to the position. So Jamal Murray less than 19.5 feels free. He's beat that number only once in the series, averaging 16.8 per game
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