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Think of me as your smart, no-bs friend, who spends far too much time thinking about +EV ways to bet on the NBA in fun ways.

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Today’s Prop Drop:

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3: S. Hauser: O 1.5 3PM

(Tail on Underdog) (Tail on Sleeper) (Tail on PrizePicks)

The Celtics do own the 8th-BEST ranking in offensive rebounds, which in theory leads to more opportunities for Sam Hauser... not that he needs it. I'll say it again, in case you missed it last time, this projection is JUST WRONG at 1.5 three pointers made. He's had 3 or more in four of his last five games and at least 2 in 17 of his last 20.

2: J. Tatum: U 41.5 Pts+Ast+Reb

(Tail on Underdog) (Tail on Sleeper) (Tail on PrizePicks)

The Celtics and the Heat are the two SLOWEST-paced teams in the NBA over their last 10 games. Just like in Game 2 when we cashed this play, Tatum’s 41.5 PRA projection seems like a STRETCH. He's averaged 38.1 PRA over his last 10 games. But, over his last 5, that number has dipped to 34.4 and he's only beaten this 41.5 number ONCE over that time period.

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