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Today’s Prop Drop:

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3: K. Durant: U 26.5 Pts

(Tail on Underdog) (Tail on Sleeper) (Tail on PrizePicks)

Kevin Durant's scoring prop faces headwinds tonight against the Timberwolves, who boast the BEST defense against power forwards in terms of points allowed. Additionally, Minnesota is home to the SLOWEST pace in the league regarding 3-point defense, seriously limiting opportunities from deep—a critical part of Durant's scoring arsenal. With the Suns displaying the 7th-least aggressive approach from three-point range this season, expect Durant's usual paths to scoring to be stifled. This matchup, coupled with a reduction in free-throw attempts, firmly positions Durant to fall short of 26.5 points, making the Under a SOLID play.

2: T. Murphy: O 25.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

(Tail on Underdog) (Tail on Sleeper) (Tail on PrizePicks)

Trey Murphy is geared up for a STELLAR night in what promises to be a high-scoring affair against the Thunder. Oklahoma City ranks as the 2nd-fastest team in the league, perfectly aligning with Murphy's increased role in the absence of Zion Williamson. His recent surge in minutes to 38.6 per game, combined with a higher volume of three-point attempts, sets him up excellently in this fast-paced environment. With the Thunder also being one of the WORST teams at allowing offensive rebounds, Murphy's opportunities for scoring and assisting are greatly enhanced. Expect Murphy to crush his combined prop of 25.5, making this Over bet a TOP choice.

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