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Welcome to NBA Prop Drop. Think of me as your smart, no-bs friend, who spends far too much time thinking about +EV ways to bet on the NBA in fun ways.

Under Kings 👑 … Solid showing yesterday going 2-and-1, and we're 11-4 over our last 15. Let’s get that sweep today!

We are 32-13 over our last 45 picks for a 71.1% HIT RATE which is completely INSANE.

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Tl;dr most people giving out picks immediately for MLB are not profitable, I’m not scared to tell you that. We need to the let the data settle a little bit.

Getting rolling very soon 😃 

As always… the Newsletters Eat First 👨‍🍳

Today’s Prop Drop:

NBA betting lines move extremely quickly (player props are no different), so today is about getting the best action down quickly.

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3: S. Gilgeous-Alexander: U 1.5 3PM

(Tail on Underdog) (Tail on Sleeper) (Tail on PrizePicks)

SGA is questionable today, but if he suits up… The 76ers have been the BEST in the league at limiting opponents' three-point percentage this season and have allowed the 3rd-FEWEST three-point attempts... so give me Shai less than 1.5 three pointers made, a number hes gone over ONCE in the last 8 games.

2: E. Mobley: U 9.5 Reb

(Tail on Underdog) (Tail on Sleeper) (Tail on PrizePicks)

Mobley's rebounding line is set too high in a matchup that's more challenging than it appears. The Cavs, known for their 2nd-slowest pace of play over the last 25 games, will face the Jazz, the 4th-quickest home team in that same timeframe. This dynamic puts a cap on Cleveland's possessions, directly impacting Mobley's rebounding opportunities. Furthermore, the Jazz's standing as one of the best offensive rebounding teams will further limit chances for the Cavs on the boards. Coupled with Mobley's tendency to pick up fouls, his time on the court—and thereby his rebounding chances—could be in jeopardy. It's a TOUGH night ahead for Mobley on the boards, making the UNDER a STRONG play.

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Leveraging promotions, discounts, and specials across multiple sportsbooks is crucial for maximizing success in prop betting and pick'em.

By joining both Underdog Fantasy and Sleeper (and remaining aligned with PrizePicks), I aim to tap into a wider range of daily specials and discounted lines, ensuring YOU get access to the best possible lines and enhance your betting strategy. This approach is all about offering you superior value and opportunities in your betting endeavors.

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Run good tonight!

There are no guaranteed winners, but my promise to you is I will work tirelessly to bring you the best player prop bets, carefully researched and backed by data.

Thank you for joining us on this exciting sports betting journey. Feel free to join our community sweats on Twitter (X) — That’s where I drop exclusive giveaways for people who like posts and reply in the comments.

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