✅🏀 NBA Prop Drop (3/9)

BACK-TO-BACK SWEEPS!

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Welcome to NBA Prop Drop. Think of me as your smart, no-bs friend, who spends far too much time thinking about +EV ways to bet on the NBA in fun ways.

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Today’s Prop Drop:

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3: J. Ivey: O 2.5 Reb

Ivey's athleticism and versatility have been on full display this season, with moments of BRILLIANCE that hint at his potential. The Pistons' up-tempo play, ranked 8th-fastest in the NBA, combined with the Mavericks' tendency to push the pace on the road, 5th-fastest, sets the stage for a game rich in possessions and rebound opportunities. While Ivey's recent foul trouble might concern some, his ability to snag rebounds in a fast-paced game shouldn't be underestimated. Considering Detroit's struggle on the offensive glass, Ivey's role could be CRUCIAL in filling that gap.

2: J. Collins: U 17.5 Pts

Collins has shown OUTSTANDING efficiency from the field this season, placing him among the elite. However, his matchup against Denver signals TROUBLE, facing a team that's slow-paced, ranking 4th-least in tempo, which could severely limit possessions for Utah. Furthermore, Collins's propensity for fouls could hamper his playing time and offensive aggression, especially against a Nuggets defense that's been STINGY against opposing power forwards' scoring and three-point attempts. With the Nuggets also posing a challenge in drawing fouls, Collins's path to exceed his points prop looks BLOCKED. Given these dynamics, banking on Collins to stay under 17.5 points is a SMART PLAY, supported by both matchup difficulty and his foul concerns.

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