WE ARE BACK.

Welcome to NBA Prop Drop. Think of me as your smart, no-bs friend, who spends far too much time thinking about +EV ways to bet on the NBA in fun ways.

Under Kings 👑 … sorry for the delay this morning was having an issue with my email send provider that has since been fixed. Apologies.

BUT there is good news.

As soon as we get the wait list over 1,000 people we will start our first ladder challenge!

We are very close! Looks like we may get to start as soon as today!

Here’s why we are doing it on a different newsletter (75% of you preferred that)

It’s basically the 2 best NBA plays closer to lock will come from the daily email above.

Okay enough is enough, already! Let’s get into the Monday picks.

⬇️ As always… the Newsletters Eat First 👨‍🍳

Today’s Prop Drop:

NBA betting lines move extremely quickly (player props are no different), so today is about getting the best action down quickly.

• 🔔 Turn on your Twitter alerts

• I want you to get the last-minute picks. So turning on alerts is more and more important as we grow.

• Tap the bet to tail on PrizePicks before the line moves

4: D. Ayton: U 28.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

(Tail on Underdog) (Tail on Sleeper) *NEW PARTNERS

Ayton's dominance is clear, but tonight's game dynamics put the spotlight on the UNDER. The Blazers’ SLOWEST pace in the league and the Timberwolves’ BEST defensive rating are massive red flags for Ayton's usual production levels. When you factor in the Blazers' standing as one of the LOWEST scoring offenses and their tendency to slow the game down to a crawl, Ayton's potential to hit high numbers across points, rebounds, and assists is severely hampered.

3: M. Conley: U 10.5 Pts

(Tail on Underdog) (Tail on Sleeper) *NEW PARTNERS

Conley's recent performance might hint at potential, but the specifics of tonight’s game tell a different story. Facing the Blazers, who have tightened up against 3-pointers and free throws, making it TOUGH for starting PGs to score from beyond the arc or the charity stripe. Plus, the Blazers’ overall SLOWEST pace reduces the Timberwolves' chances for scoring plays.

2: A. Edwards U 37.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

(Tail on Underdog) (Tail on Sleeper) *NEW PARTNERS

Returning from an ankle concern, Edwards faces a Trail Blazers team that dictates a SLOWER pace, one of the LEAST up-tempo in the league, slashing the Timberwolves’ possession numbers. Portland’s defense, making it TOUGH for SGs to find their rhythm from the field, alongside their standing in giving up MORE offensive rebounds, doesn’t automatically translate to increased scoring or assist opportunities for Edwards due to the overall reduced pace. This game's dynamics, particularly Portland’s effective control over pace and field goal opportunities, strongly suggest Edwards won’t hit this abitious line.

🤫 Tap here for my #1 NBA LOCK 🤫

⬇️ Don’t forget to check today’s free money ⬇️

Leveraging promotions, discounts, and specials across multiple sportsbooks is crucial for maximizing success in prop betting and pick'em.

By joining both Underdog Fantasy and Sleeper, I aim to tap into a wider range of daily specials and discounted lines, ensuring YOU get access to the best possible lines and enhance your betting strategy. This approach is all about offering you superior value and opportunities in your betting endeavors.

If you join us, please use code: HOLKA or tap the images below.

Tap to try out Sleeper 

(Get up to $500 on 1st deposit match)

Tap to try out Underdog Fantasy

(Get your 1st deposit doubled up to $100)

It supports me more than you know 🙏 

Run good tonight!

There are no guaranteed winners, but my promise to you is I will work tirelessly to bring you the best player prop bets, carefully researched and backed by data.

Thank you for joining us on this exciting sports betting journey. Feel free to join our community sweats on Twitter (X) — That’s where I drop exclusive giveaways for people who like posts and reply in the comments.