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Welcome to NBA Prop Drop. Think of me as your smart, no-bs friend, who spends far too much time thinking about +EV ways to bet on the NBA in fun ways.

Under Kings 👑 … Some big edges today, let’s get after it.

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Today’s Prop Drop:

NBA betting lines move extremely quickly (player props are no different), so today is about getting the best action down quickly.

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5: CJ McCollum: O 3.5 Reb

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McCollum has been pulling down defensive boards with ease, ranking in the 80th percentile among players, a trend that's expected to continue given the Pacers' fast-paced play. With the Pelicans hosting and McCollum logging substantial minutes, his opportunities to hit the glass will be plentiful. The game's pace and McCollum's role on home court set the stage for him to easily surpass this modest rebounding line.

4: J. Grant: O 22.5 Pts

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JGrant's road warrior status is UNDENIABLE, averaging 19.0 points per game when away and consistently being one of the most utilized players for the Trail Blazers. With Portland boasting the top offensive rebounding numbers recently, Grant's opportunities for scoring should only increase, especially considering the Grizzlies' tendency to allow significant free throw attempts to opposing power forwards. This matchup is an INCREDIBLE spot for Grant to exceed expectations and light up the scoreboard.

3: N. Vucevic: U 20.5 Pts

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While Vooch has been ON FIRE post-All-Star break, scoring 20+ in nine of his last 10, the matchup against the Bucks doesn't bode well. Milwaukee's defense has tightened up, and the Bulls' own slow pace limits scoring opportunities across the board. Despite Vucevic's uptick in shot attempts and minutes at home, the Bucks' ability to control the glass and slow the pace plays directly against Vucevic's scoring chances.

2: T. Jones: U 9.5 Ast

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Despite his incredible distribution recently, averaging 11.6 assists over the last 10 games, Jones is up against a Clippers team that slows the game down and limits possessions. The Wizards' pace might favor higher stats, but with the Clippers' slow tempo and strong defensive rebounding cutting down on extra offensive opportunities, Jones is unlikely to maintain his high-assist performance.

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