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- ✅🏀 NBA Prop Drop (2/29)
WE ARE BACK.
Welcome to NBA Prop Drop. Think of me as your smart, no-bs friend, who spends far too much time thinking about +EV ways to bet on the NBA in fun ways.
Under Kings 👑 … BOUNCE-BACK slate today.
No fluff. Let’s get into it. Thursday is a really interesting slate.
⬇️ Making HUGE progress on the NHL model ⬇️
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Hoping to re-launch by the end of the week 👀 so pumped to show you guys what I’ve been working on in stealth the last bit.
Today’s Prop Drop:
NBA betting lines move extremely quickly (player props are no different), so today is about getting the best action down quickly.
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I want you to get the last-minute picks. So turning on alerts is more and more important as we grow.
Tap the bet to tail on PrizePicks before the line moves
4: B. Podziemski: U 21.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
(Tail on Underdog) (Tail on Sleeper) *NEW PARTNERS
Despite Podziemski stepping up in minutes and performance, the Knicks' slow pace and defensive efficiency at home make this line look way too optimistic. Podziemski's three-point effectiveness drops significantly on the road, and with the Warriors facing the NBA's most sluggish pace team in the Knicks, expect a lower output.
3: J. Kuminga: U 24.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
(Tail on Underdog) (Tail on Sleeper) *NEW PARTNERS
Despite his strong showings on the road, the Knicks present a TOUGH matchup that favors a slower game pace, reducing Golden State's overall play opportunities. The Knicks are known for their ability to limit offensive rebounds, further tightening chances for Kuminga to hit his mark. Given his recent performance dip with Gary Payton II taking some of his minutes, the UNDER on Kuminga's combined total is my clear lean.
2: C. Martin: U 4.5 Ast
(Tail on Underdog) (Tail on Sleeper) *NEW PARTNERS
Despite Martin stepping up with 5.2 assists over his last five games, the Hornets' recent performance and matchup dynamics suggest a different story. The Hornets are struggling with the NBA's 5th-slowest pace over their last five, and against a Bucks team that limits offensive boards on the road, opportunities for Martin to rack up assists will be limited. Plus, with the Hornets being the worst in offensive rebounding at home lately, extra possessions are rare, making the UNDER a smart play.
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