WE ARE BACK.

Welcome to NBA Prop Drop. Think of me as your smart, no-bs friend, who spends far too much time thinking about +EV ways to bet on the NBA in fun ways.

Under Kings 👑 … yesterday was rough. I was dead wrong on Luka/Kyrie.

Zoom out, we are still hitting at a 64.0% hit rate over our last 100 NBA bets.

Keep pushing.

⬇️ Need your help getting these new accounts off the ground 👑 

New NBA Instagram 
New NBA TikTok

Please follow and support if you like my basketball content. Getting these new accounts off the ground is not easy! Comments, likes, follows. All goes a long way to support. Thank you.

But as always… the Newsletters Eat First 👨‍🍳

Today’s Prop Drop:

NBA betting lines move extremely quickly (player props are no different), so today is about getting the best action down quickly.

• 🔔 Turn on your Twitter alerts

• I want you to get the last-minute picks. So turning on alerts is more and more important as we grow.

• Tap the bet to tail on PrizePicks before the line moves

5: A. Nembhard: O 3.5 Ast

(Tail on Underdog) (Tail on Sleeper) *NEW PARTNERS

Nembhard's minutes have skyrocketed, and with the Pacers' high-octane offense, he's perfectly positioned to dish out more than 3.5 assists with ease. The Pelicans' slower road pace won't be enough to slow down Indiana's home court advantage, where Nembhard thrives. This prop is practically GIVING AWAY MONEY, as Nembhard's recent playmaking role and the Pacers' tempo create the perfect storm for him to exceed expectations tonight.

4: J. Jackson: U 23.5 Pts

(Tail on Underdog) (Tail on Sleeper) *NEW PARTNERS

Jaren Jackson Jr. has been a FORCE to reckon with, but tonight's points prop is a bridge too far. Despite his uptick in shot attempts and threes over the last few games, the Timberwolves' stifling defense and slower pace play spoil the party. Jackson's penchant for fouls and the Grizzlies' sluggish pace cut into his scoring opportunities, making the UNDER on this prop a STEAL. Trust the trends and the matchup here; Jackson's road woes and the challenging offensive environment make this line look like a fantasy rather than reality.

3: I. Quickley: U 30.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

(Tail on Underdog) (Tail on Sleeper) *NEW PARTNERS

Immanuel Quickley's versatility is UNQUESTIONABLE, but tonight's total for points, rebounds, and assists seems OVERBLOWN. With Quickley's minutes on the rise, you'd think he'd smash this total, but the Raptors' ensemble cast, including a ball-dominant Scottie Barnes, might say otherwise. The Mavericks' pace could boost Toronto's play count, but Quickley's recent shift in role to accommodate team dynamics hints at a lower ceiling tonight. Plus, Dallas' ability to limit offensive rebounds and consequently, scoring opportunities, makes the UNDER my lean. Don't be swayed by Quickley's hot streak; the team context and matchup dynamics spell out a clear path to falling short of this inflated line today.

2: A. Edwards: U 39.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

(Tail on Underdog) (Tail on Sleeper) *NEW PARTNERS

Anthony Edwards is ON FIRE, but tonight's combined line for points, rebounds, and assists is a MOUNTAIN TOO HIGH to climb. Even with a stellar performance recently, the Timberwolves' slower pace and the Grizzlies' defensive strategy could hamstring Edwards' usual dominance. The home court doesn't change the fact that Memphis limits offensive rebounds and controls the pace, cutting down Edwards' chances to stuff the stat sheet. Plus, the slight ankle concern adds a layer of risk. Betting on the UNDER here is a NO-BRAINER, as the matchup and recent team trends suggest Edwards will have a tougher time reaching that lofty total.

🤫 Tap here for my #1 NBA LOCK 🤫

⬇️ Don’t forget to check today’s free money ⬇️

Leveraging promotions, discounts, and specials across multiple sportsbooks is crucial for maximizing success in prop betting and pick'em.

By joining both Underdog Fantasy and Sleeper, I aim to tap into a wider range of daily specials and discounted lines, ensuring YOU get access to the best possible lines and enhance your betting strategy. This approach is all about offering you superior value and opportunities in your betting endeavors.

If you join us, please use code: HOLKA or tap the images below.

Tap to try out Sleeper 

(Get up to $500 on 1st deposit match)

Tap to try out Underdog Fantasy

(Get your 1st deposit doubled up to $100)

It supports me more than you know 🙏 

Run good tonight!

There are no guaranteed winners, but my promise to you is I will work tirelessly to bring you the best player prop bets, carefully researched and backed by data.

Thank you for joining us on this exciting sports betting journey. Feel free to join our community sweats on Twitter (X) — That’s where I drop exclusive giveaways for people who like posts and reply in the comments.