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Welcome to NBA Prop Drop. Think of me as your smart, no-bs friend, who spends far too much time thinking about +EV ways to bet on the NBA in fun ways.

Under Kings 👑 … couple HUGE announcements today ⬇️⬇️⬇️

Announcement #1

I’m always trying to get you guys the best lines (that’s a huge part of being successful in prop betting and pick’em) so I have decided to end my exclusive deal with PrizePicks and join both Underdog Fantasy and Sleeper. 

A big part of this decision was they run a lot more daily specials and discounted lines and I want to make you guys aware of those. But also give you guys the best lines that I am taking every day.

Today’s specials… if you join, please use code: HOLKA or tap the images below.

Tap to try out Underdog Fantasy

(Get your 1st deposit doubled up to $100)

Tap to try out Sleeper 

(Get up to $500 on 1st deposit match)

It supports me more than you know 🙏 No reason not to try them out for a day to see if you like it.

Announcement #2

On that note, I'm trying to give you guys as much free stuff as possible…

I wanted to figure out a forward-looking solution for once NFL starts again… how am I going to make more videos but also get daily NBA videos out.

These platforms will start to cannibalize your views if you post too much.

SOLUTION

2. Adding two new accounts for short form videos, pick your poison ⬇️ please follow and support if you like my basketball content.

New NBA Instagram
New NBA TikTok

Enough is enough already, let’s get into the Saturday picks.

As always… the Newsletters Eat First 👨‍🍳

Today’s Prop Drop:

NBA betting lines move extremely quickly (player props are no different), so today is about getting the best action down quickly.

• 🔔 Turn on your Twitter alerts

• I want you to get the last-minute picks. So turning on alerts is more and more important as we grow.

• Tap the bet to tail on PrizePicks before the line moves

3: Nic Claxton Under 9.5 Rebounds

(Tail on Underdog) (Tail on Sleeper) *NEW PARTNERS

Claxton's UNDER on rebounds is the way to go, making this prop a NO-BRAINER. While Claxton has been a beast on the boards, snagging an impressive 2.9 offensive rebounds per game on the road this year, the matchup against the Timberwolves and their slow pace could hinder his usual production. The Nets' own dip in pace and Claxton's high foul rate, sitting at 2.5 per game, further complicate his chances to haul in over 9.5 rebounds. Plus, being on the road typically brings a drop-off in stats for most players. Given these factors, Claxton facing a sluggish game tempo and potential foul trouble makes the UNDER on his rebounding prop the SMART PLAY tonight.

2: Ben Simmons Under 5.5 Assists

(Tail on Underdog) (Tail on Sleeper) *NEW PARTNERS

This line is SET TOO HIGH for Simmons tonight, folks. Returning to action but facing the Timberwolves, who've shown resilience against offensive setups, Simmons finds himself in a tough spot. The Nets' recent sluggish pace of play and Simmons' own foul trouble, averaging 2.5 fouls per game, hint at limited opportunities to rack up assists. Even though he's been dishing out 6.3 assists per game, the current matchup and his propensity for fouls lead us to believe that hitting over this assist line is a tall order. With the game likely to slow down and Simmons navigating through potential foul issues, betting the UNDER on his assists feels like the SHARPEST MOVE tonight.

🤫 Tap here for my #1 NBA LOCK 🤫

Run good tonight!

There are no guaranteed winners, but my promise to you is I will work tirelessly to bring you the best player prop bets, carefully researched and backed by data.

Thank you for joining us on this exciting sports betting journey. Feel free to join our community sweats on Twitter (X) — That’s where I drop exclusive giveaways for people who like posts and reply in the comments.