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Today’s Prop Drop:

NBA betting lines move extremely quickly (player props are no different), so today is about getting the best action down quickly.

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5: J. McDaniels: O 14.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

(Tail on Underdog) *NEW PARTNER

McDaniels bouncing back with a 17-point performance against Portland is just the beginning. With the Timberwolves hosting the Bucks, who play at a high pace, McDaniels is set for a BIG NIGHT. His recent uptick in 3-point attempts and 100% free-throw shooting over the last five games, combined with a favorable matchup against the Bucks' defense, positions McDaniels perfectly to smash this number.

4: J. Butler: U 21.5 Pts

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His shooting has been ON FIRE lately, but the Pelicans' defensive setup and the Heat's slower pace on the road are key factors here. Plus, the initial line drop from 21.5 shows where the smart money's going. While Bam's versatility is unmatched, expecting him to overcome these challenges on the road is a tall order.

3: B. Adebayo: U 20.5 Pts

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Adebayo stepping up to REPLACE Embiid in the All-Star lineup shows his CLASS, but facing the Pelicans is a different story. His scoring has been HOT lately, but the UNDER on his 20.5 points prop looks JUICY. With the Heat playing the slowest pace in the league on the road and Bam facing a tough interior defense, it's hard to see him exceeding this total. The betting line moving down from 21.5 to 20.5 points confirms the sentiment: Adebayo's scoring tonight is likely to cool off.

2: N. Jokic: U 9.5 Ast

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Jokic dropping a TRIPLE-DOUBLE against Washington was EPIC, but the TRAIL BLAZERS game is a different beast. Despite his INSANE 15 assists last game, Jokic averaging 9.1 assists this season tells us that's an outlier, not the norm. With the Nuggets facing the 2nd-slowest pace team in the Blazers and without home court advantage, where players usually see a dip in stats, Jokic hitting over 9.5 assists is a tall order. The matchup and pace of play just don't support another high-assist performance.

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