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Welcome to NBA Prop Drop. Think of me as your smart, no-bs friend, who spends far too much time thinking about +EV ways to bet on the NBA in fun ways.

WE SWEPT our Way-Too-Early NBA newsletter picks yesterday 🔥🔥🔥

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I wanted to highlight that I’m attacking NBA props in two waves, the Way-Too-Early wave (this email) and the Last-Minute-Triple wave (Twitter only).

Turn on notifications because I want you to get the last-minute picks.

Wednesday provides a great slate of games, so let’s not waste any more time.

As always… Newsletter Eats First👨🏼‍🍳 

Today’s Prop Drop:

NBA betting lines move extremely quickly (player props are no different), so there will be days the full analysis will come out on Twitter, just to make sure I get these in your hands as quickly as possible.

• Speaking of Twitter, hit the 🔔 and turn on your alerts I run daily giveaways ranging from $50 to $500, sometimes I only choose from people engaging in the first 30 minutes!

• Tap the bet to tail on PrizePicks before the line moves

4. Anthony Davis Under 28.5 Points

🩹 The Anthony Davis saga against the Bulls is a TAPESTRY of scenarios, but each thread leads to the UNDER being a SURGICAL BET. If Davis plays without LeBron, his 25.8 points per game without the King are IMPRESSIVE, yet not quite at the 28.5 mark. Add in the Bulls' SNAIL-PACED game rhythm, and you've got a recipe for a scoring SLOWDOWN. On the flip side, if both Davis and LeBron lace up, the uncertainty of their synergy after recent injuries casts a SHADOW of doubt. And let's not overlook the Lakers' woes in snagging offensive boards on the road, a CRITICAL piece in generating extra scoring opportunities. Whether Davis flies solo or has LeBron by his side, the UNDER here looks like a SMART, data-driven pick.

3. OG Anunoby Over 3.5 Rebounds

🚀 He's been a REBOUNDING FORCE at home, averaging 3.7 defensive boards. With the Raptors being top-notch in offensive rebounds at home, Anunoby is in a PRIME POSITION to clean the glass. The Nuggets’ slow pace won’t matter much here; Anunoby’s playing time and knack for grabbing boards make the OVER an INCREDIBLE BET.

2. Donovan Mitchell Under 32.5 Points

🔥 This line looks INFLATED against the Jazz. Sure, he's been FIRING SHOTS like there's no tomorrow, but the Jazz's defense against PGs is a TALL ORDER. They've limited opposing PGs to a measly 26.5% from downtown this year. Combine this with the Cavs’ SLOWER TEMPO and the Jazz’s knack for gobbling offensive rebounds, and you've got a recipe for a lower-scoring affair. Banking on the UNDER for Mitchell feels like the BEST BET on the board, except maybe…

⬇️⬇️⬇️ Today’s “easiest bet” (we are 2-0 on these picks so far)

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Run good tonight!

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